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// NFL · Week 9 · Sunday 8 November 2026

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction

Kick-off 4:05pm ET ·

Pick
Houston Texans
Chance
62%
Light
Orange
Confidence
Medium

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

Houston Texans

  • Reed Blankenship S · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 12:09 pm AEDT)
  • David Montgomery RB · Out · Groin (5 Nov, 7:52 am AEDT)
  • Jaylin Noel WR · Injured reserve · Toe (29 Oct, 9:30 am AEDT)
  • Woody Marks RB · Returning (7 Nov, 5:11 am AEDT)
  • Azeez Al-Shaair LB · Returning (6 Nov, 10:23 am AEDT)
  • Brevin Jordan TE · Returning (6 Nov, 10:05 am AEDT)
  • Braden Smith OT · Returning (6 Nov, 10:04 am AEDT)
  • Blake Fisher OT · Returning (5 Nov, 4:02 pm AEDT)
  • Jalen Pitre S · Returning (5 Nov, 1:54 pm AEDT)
  • Naquan Jones DT · Returning (3 Nov, 9:58 am AEDT)
  • Henry To'oTo'o LB · Returning (28 Oct, 3:04 pm AEDT)
  • M.J. Stewart S · Returning (28 Oct, 2:59 pm AEDT)
  • +13 more

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Kendall Williamson S · Out · Calf (7 Nov, 2:39 pm AEDT)
  • Deane Leonard CB · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 2:36 pm AEDT)
  • Denzel Perryman LB · Injured reserve · Undisclosed (7 Nov, 2:42 pm AEDT)
  • David Njoku TE · Injured reserve · Lower Leg (7 Nov, 9:46 am AEDT)
  • Derwin James Jr. S · Injured reserve · Hamstring (1 Nov, 11:11 am AEDT)
  • Brenen Thompson WR · Doubtful · Quadriceps (7 Nov, 12:08 pm AEDT)
  • Kayode Awosika G · Doubtful · Lower Leg (7 Nov, 9:13 am AEDT)
  • Rodney Shelley CB · Returning (7 Nov, 2:47 pm AEDT)
  • Donte Jackson CB · Returning (7 Nov, 12:23 pm AEDT)
  • Daiyan Henley LB · Returning (6 Nov, 10:47 am AEDT)
  • Bud Dupree LB · Returning (6 Nov, 10:10 am AEDT)
  • KeAndre Lambert-Smith WR · Returning (4 Nov, 2:16 pm AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

Houston Texans are our pick on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 9. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

Houston Texans have the higher team rating (1511 to 1378), built from results and winning margins.

Schedule: Houston Texans are coming off a bye.

Quarterbacks: we expect C.J. Stroud to start for Houston Texans (58 career starts); we expect Justin Herbert to start for Los Angeles Chargers (105 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Houston Texans are 2–5 and Los Angeles Chargers are 0–7.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

Twice a week, Monday and Thursday: the model's GREEN calls, how the last batch went, wins and misses both. Free.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.