// NBA · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Chance
- 65%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Indiana Pacers 123 – 120 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, New Orleans Pelicans, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Indiana Pacers: no finished games yet this season.
- New Orleans Pelicans: no finished games yet this season.
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
New Orleans Pelicans are our pick at home against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 65% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, New Orleans Pelicans rate as the stronger team (96.1 to 91.8 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Indiana Pacers have been losing by 6.3 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 3.4 points a game.
Injuries: Indiana Pacers will be without Aaron Nesmith (29 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Indiana Pacers are 3–7 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pacers beat the Pelicans 123–120 on the road. Pascal Siakam led them with 30 points and 8 rebounds, and Tyrese Haliburton added 23. For the Pelicans, Dejounte Murray had 23 points and 7 assists.
What the model got right
Aaron Nesmith missed the game for the Pacers, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Pelicans a slight favourite at 65%, and that was wrong: the Pacers won by 3. Our team-strength rating had the Pelicans ahead (96.1 to 91.8), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 65%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 21 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic ORL 55%Orange✕ 132–125
- Wed, 21 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards MIL 54%Red✕ 116–128
- Wed, 21 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 68%Super✓ 110–103
- Wed, 21 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat MIA 60%Orange✕ 131–106
- Wed, 21 OctChicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors TOR 75%Green✓ 92–135
- Wed, 21 OctUtah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 53%Red✓ 103–123
- Wed, 21 OctDallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets HOU 79%Green✓ 110–128
- Wed, 21 OctGolden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 73%Super✓ 105–127
- Wed, 21 OctPhoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 59%Orange✓ 83–124
- Wed, 21 OctSacramento Kings @ LA Clippers LAC 70%Super✓ 96–121
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.