// NFL · Week 10 · Sunday 15 November 2026
New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions prediction
Kick-off 9:30am ET ·
- Pick
- New England Patriots
- Chance
- 62%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Injury report
New England Patriots
- TreVeyon Henderson RB · Out · Illness (7 Nov, 5:30 am AEDT)
- A.J. Brown WR · Out · Knee (7 Nov, 4:09 am AEDT)
- Greg Van Roten G · Injured reserve · Hamstring (8 Nov, 2:43 pm AEDT)
- Mack Hollins WR · Questionable · Calf (8 Nov, 8:23 am AEDT)
- Hunter Henry TE · Questionable · Foot (7 Nov, 5:25 am AEDT)
- Brenden Schooler S · Questionable · Hamstring (6 Nov, 8:55 am AEDT)
- Morgan Moses OT · Questionable · Foot (5 Nov, 8:56 am AEDT)
- Gabe Jacas LB · Returning (7 Nov, 2:21 pm AEDT)
- Marcus Jones CB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
- Kevin Byard S · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
- Carlton Davis III CB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:47 am AEDT)
- Dre'Mont Jones DE · Returning (7 Nov, 7:46 am AEDT)
- +13 more
Detroit Lions
- Cade Mays C · Out · Ankle (7 Nov, 2:55 pm AEDT)
- DJ Wonnum LB · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 1:18 pm AEDT)
- D.J. Reed CB · Out · Hip (7 Nov, 1:12 pm AEDT)
- Kerby Joseph S · Out · Knee (7 Nov, 1:10 pm AEDT)
- Jack Campbell LB · Injured reserve · Neck (8 Nov, 9:18 am AEDT)
- Jimmy Rolder LB · Injured reserve · Hamstring (4 Nov, 1:07 pm AEDT)
- Isiah Pacheco RB · Injured reserve · Back (31 Oct, 4:09 am AEDT)
- Jacob Saylors RB · Questionable · Neck (7 Nov, 12:51 pm AEDT)
- Sione Vaki RB · Questionable · Ankle (7 Nov, 12:48 pm AEDT)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · Questionable · Ribs (7 Nov, 8:07 am AEDT)
- Jabari Small RB · Returning (8 Nov, 10:55 am AEDT)
- Brian Branch S · Returning (7 Nov, 1:01 pm AEDT)
- +13 more
● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning
Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.
Preview
New England Patriots are our pick against the Detroit Lions at a neutral venue in Week 10. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
New England Patriots have the higher team rating (1618 to 1585), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Drake Maye to start for New England Patriots (40 career starts); we expect Jared Goff to start for Detroit Lions (167 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: New England Patriots are 5–3 and Detroit Lions are 5–2.
What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 15 NovMiami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts IND 60%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovBuffalo Bills @ New York Jets BUF 79%Green
- Sun, 15 NovCarolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints NO 55%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovHouston Texans @ Cleveland Browns HOU 55%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovJacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans JAX 79%Green
- Sun, 15 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons KC 53%Red
- Sun, 15 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers GB 59%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovLos Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals LA 70%Green
- Sun, 15 NovSeattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders SEA 57%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovSan Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys SF 65%Green
- Sun, 15 NovPittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 52%Red
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.