// NFL · Week 10 · Sunday 15 November 2026
Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Chance
- 53%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Injury report
Kansas City Chiefs
- Peter Woods DT · Out · Neck (7 Nov, 1:59 pm AEDT)
- Mansoor Delane CB · Out · Shoulder (7 Nov, 7:29 am AEDT)
- Omarr Norman-Lott DT · Out · Knee - ACL (29 Oct, 12:48 pm AEDT)
- L'Jarius Sneed CB · Injured reserve · Knee (1 Nov, 10:04 am AEDT)
- Nikko Remigio WR · Questionable · Hip (7 Nov, 1:40 pm AEDT)
- Travis Kelce TE · Returning (6 Nov, 8:39 am AEDT)
- Rashee Rice WR · Returning (6 Nov, 8:34 am AEDT)
- Harrison Butker PK · Returning (5 Nov, 5:05 am AEDT)
- Cyrus Allen WR · Returning (3 Nov, 2:41 pm AEDT)
- Tyreke Smith DE · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
- Ben VanSumeren FB · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
- Diego Pounds OT · Returning (3 Nov, 6:04 am AEDT)
- +13 more
Atlanta Falcons
- Zachariah Branch WR · Out · Hamstring (3 Nov, 5:55 am AEDT)
- Anterio Thompson DT · Out · Undisclosed (31 Oct, 1:43 pm AEDT)
- Cameron Williams OL · Injured reserve · Ankle (8 Nov, 2:27 pm AEDT)
- Brian Robinson Jr. RB · Injured reserve · Hamstring (8 Nov, 8:13 am AEDT)
- Samson Ebukam DE · Injured reserve · Hamstring (4 Nov, 11:37 am AEDT)
- Yasir Abdullah LB · Questionable · Hamstring (8 Nov, 2:22 pm AEDT)
- Beaux Collins WR · Questionable · Hip (8 Nov, 11:27 am AEDT)
- James Pearce Jr. LB · Questionable · Back (7 Nov, 4:18 am AEDT)
- Divine Deablo LB · Questionable · Forearm (7 Nov, 4:10 am AEDT)
- Khalil Herbert RB · Returning (8 Nov, 11:19 am AEDT)
- Billy Bowman Jr. CB · Returning (5 Nov, 6:48 am AEDT)
- Nick Folk PK · Returning (3 Nov, 2:53 pm AEDT)
- +13 more
● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning
Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.
Preview
Kansas City Chiefs are our pick on the road against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Kansas City Chiefs have the higher team rating (1553 to 1464), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Patrick Mahomes to start for Kansas City Chiefs (154 career starts); we expect Michael Penix Jr. to start for Atlanta Falcons (18 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Kansas City Chiefs are 5–2 and Atlanta Falcons are 3–5.
What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 15 NovNew England Patriots @ Detroit Lions NE 62%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovMiami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts IND 60%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovBuffalo Bills @ New York Jets BUF 79%Green
- Sun, 15 NovCarolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints NO 55%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovHouston Texans @ Cleveland Browns HOU 55%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovJacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans JAX 79%Green
- Sun, 15 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers GB 59%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovLos Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals LA 70%Green
- Sun, 15 NovSeattle Seahawks @ Las Vegas Raiders SEA 57%Orange
- Sun, 15 NovSan Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys SF 65%Green
- Sun, 15 NovPittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 52%Red
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.