New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears prediction

Preview

New England Patriots are our pick on the road against the Chicago Bears in Week 7. The model gives them a 64% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55–65%).

New England Patriots have the higher team rating (1628 to 1541), built from results and winning margins.

Quarterbacks: we expect Drake Maye to start for New England Patriots (37 career starts); we expect Tyson Bagent to start for Chicago Bears, with only 5 career starts. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: New England Patriots are 3–2 and Chicago Bears are 3–2.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.