// NBA · Tuesday 27 October 2026
Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 88%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Sacramento Kings 103 – 130 San Antonio Spurs. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 3, average margin −14.7 points (L 112–123 v MEM, L 120–128 v POR, L 96–121 @ LAC).
- San Antonio Spurs: 1 win from the last 3, average margin 0.0 points (W 122–106 @ DAL, L 110–114 v HOU, L 104–116 v OKC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick at home against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 88% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (91.6 to 87.8 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Sacramento Kings have been losing by 10.8 points a game, while San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 4.2 points a game.
Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Keegan Murray (27 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Sacramento Kings are 1–8 and San Antonio Spurs are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Kings 130–103 at home. Victor Wembanyama led them with 29 points and 10 rebounds, and Julian Champagnie added 26. For the Kings, De'Andre Hunter had 24 points and 6 rebounds, making 5 of 9 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Spurs an 88% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (91.6 to 87.8), and they won by 27. Recent form pointed the same way: the Spurs had been winning by 4.2 points a game, the Kings losing by 10.8. Keegan Murray missed the game for the Kings, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. De'Andre Hunter's 24 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 88%, about 1 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.