// NBA · Tuesday 27 October 2026
Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Start 11:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 63%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Portland Trail Blazers 136 – 129 Los Angeles Lakers. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Portland Trail Blazers: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +24.5 points (W 128–120 @ SAC, W 124–83 v PHX).
- Los Angeles Lakers: 3 wins from the last 3, average margin +13.0 points (W 132–123 @ UTAH, W 125–117 v LAC, W 127–105 v GS).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick at home against the Portland Trail Blazers. The model gives them a 63% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Los Angeles Lakers rate as the stronger team (101.3 to 96.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 5.7 points a game, while Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 3.1 points a game.
Schedule: Portland Trail Blazers have had 4 days' rest to 2 for Los Angeles Lakers, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Portland Trail Blazers will be without Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Portland Trail Blazers are 6–3 and Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Trail Blazers beat the Lakers 136–129 on the road. Deni Avdija and Ja Morant led them with 23 points each. For the Lakers, Luka Doncic had 41 points, 5 rebounds and 9 assists, making 6 of 15 threes.
What the model got right
Shaedon Sharpe missed the game for the Trail Blazers, as the preview expected. The preview did show the Trail Blazers as the team in better recent form (the Lakers had been winning by 3.1 points a game, the Trail Blazers winning by 5.7), and they won.
What didn't work
The model made the Lakers a slight favourite at 63%, and that was wrong: the Trail Blazers won by 7. The Trail Blazers out-rebounded the Lakers 38–31. Our team-strength rating had the Lakers ahead (101.3 to 96.5), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 63%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.