Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Preview

San Antonio Spurs are our pick at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).

Oklahoma City Thunder rate slightly stronger on the line-ups we expect (97.5 to 94.9 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to San Antonio Spurs.

Form at the end of last season: Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 5.5 points a game, while San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 6.2 points a game.

Injuries: neither team has a regular player on the injury report at the time of writing.

What could change the pick: late injury news. We re-check every 15 minutes until tip-off, then the pick is locked and stays on our public record, win or lose.