// NBA · Saturday 24 October 2026
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets prediction
Start 6:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Miami Heat
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Miami Heat 110 – 115 Charlotte Hornets. Our pick, Miami Heat, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Miami Heat: 0 wins from the last 2, average margin −21.0 points (L 111–128 v DET, L 106–131 v MIN).
- Charlotte Hornets: 1 win from the last 2, average margin −20.0 points (L 81–128 v ATL, W 110–103 @ BKN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Miami Heat are our pick on the road against the Charlotte Hornets. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Miami Heat rate as the stronger team (97.9 to 76.3 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Miami Heat have been losing by 4.7 points a game, while Charlotte Hornets have been winning by 1.7 points a game.
Schedule: Miami Heat are on the second night of a back-to-back and Charlotte Hornets are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Charlotte Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel (30 min a game), Grant Williams (20 min a game) and Coby White (20 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Miami Heat are 3–6 and Charlotte Hornets are 3–7.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hornets beat the Heat 115–110 at home. Brandon Miller led them with 34 points and 8 rebounds, and Dennis Schroder added 25. For the Heat, Davion Mitchell had 22 points and 10 assists.
What the model got right
Kon Knueppel, Coby White and Grant Williams for the Hornets all missed the game, as the preview expected. The model called this close to a coin flip, and it was close: 5 points at the end. The preview did show the Hornets as the team in better recent form (the Heat had been losing by 4.7 points a game, the Hornets winning by 1.7), and they won.
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Heat at 54%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Hornets won by 5. The Hornets out-rebounded the Heat 46–37. Our team-strength rating had the Heat ahead (97.9 to 76.3), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. At 54% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 24 OctBrooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 86%Super✓ 121–125
- Sat, 24 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 116–127
- Sat, 24 OctWashington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls CHI 64%Super✕ 124–120
- Sat, 24 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks SA 85%Green✓ 122–106
- Sat, 24 OctHouston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 51%Red✕ 121–114
- Sat, 24 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets DEN 77%Green✓ 135–141
- Sat, 24 OctGolden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns PHX 79%Green✓ 122–131
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.