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// NFL · Week 9 · Monday 9 November 2026

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings prediction

Kick-off 8:15pm ET ·

Pick
Buffalo Bills
Chance
60%
Light
Orange
Confidence
Medium

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

⚠ Key player out or doubtful: Kyler Murray (Out).

Buffalo Bills

  • Tyrell Shavers WR · Out · Knee - ACL (8 Nov, 8:01 am AEDT)
  • Joshua Palmer WR · Out · Hamstring (8 Nov, 5:51 am AEDT)
  • Jordan Hancock CB · Injured reserve · Hamstring (5 Nov, 2:59 pm AEDT)
  • Alec Anderson OT · Questionable · Ankle (8 Nov, 1:09 pm AEDT)
  • Dion Dawkins OT · Questionable · Ribs (8 Nov, 1:01 pm AEDT)
  • Greg Gaines DT · Questionable · Calf (4 Nov, 12:03 am AEDT)
  • Spencer Brown OT · Returning (8 Nov, 1:05 pm AEDT)
  • Sam Franklin Jr. S · Returning (8 Nov, 6:39 am AEDT)
  • Keon Coleman WR · Returning (8 Nov, 6:30 am AEDT)
  • DJ Moore WR · Returning (8 Nov, 6:17 am AEDT)
  • Ty Johnson RB · Returning (7 Nov, 9:03 am AEDT)
  • Dalton Kincaid TE · Returning (7 Nov, 8:59 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

Minnesota Vikings

  • Demond Claiborne RB · Out · Knee (8 Nov, 9:56 am AEDT)
  • Jauan Jennings WR · Out · Calf (8 Nov, 6:34 am AEDT)
  • Kyler Murray QB · Out · Hamstring key player (8 Nov, 6:24 am AEDT)
  • Jay Ward S · Questionable · Knee (6 Nov, 9:32 am AEDT)
  • Andrew Van Ginkel LB · Returning (8 Nov, 10:02 am AEDT)
  • Christian Darrisaw OT · Returning (7 Nov, 3:22 pm AEDT)
  • Isaiah Rodgers CB · Returning (7 Nov, 10:19 am AEDT)
  • Jake Golday LB · Returning (7 Nov, 10:19 am AEDT)
  • Max Brosmer QB · Returning key player (6 Nov, 5:49 am AEDT)
  • Carson Wentz QB · Returning key player (6 Nov, 5:30 am AEDT)
  • DeeJay Dallas RB · Returning (5 Nov, 1:13 pm AEDT)
  • Eric Wilson LB · Returning (4 Nov, 4:53 pm AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:44 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

Buffalo Bills are our pick on the road against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9. The model gives them a 60% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

Buffalo Bills have the higher team rating (1682 to 1630), built from results and winning margins.

Quarterbacks: we expect Josh Allen to start for Buffalo Bills (146 career starts); Minnesota Vikings' starter Kyler Murray is listed out, so we have assumed a backup starts. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Buffalo Bills are 6–1 and Minnesota Vikings are 6–1.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

Twice a week, Monday and Thursday: the model's GREEN calls, how the last batch went, wins and misses both. Free.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.