// NBA · Friday 30 October 2026
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 59%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Los Angeles Lakers 95 – 112 Golden State Warriors. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Los Angeles Lakers: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +9.6 points (W 103–87 @ LAC, L 129–136 v POR, W 132–123 @ UTAH, W 125–117 v LAC, W 127–105 v GS).
- Golden State Warriors: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin −1.8 points (W 119–114 @ MIN, W 134–114 @ DEN, L 122–131 @ PHX, L 108–111 v MEM, L 105–127 @ LAL).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick on the road against the Golden State Warriors. The model gives them a 59% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Los Angeles Lakers rate as the stronger team (99.1 to 94.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 3.5 points a game, while Golden State Warriors have been losing by 2.3 points a game.
Injuries: Los Angeles Lakers will be without Ziaire Williams (29 min a game) and Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game) and Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2 and Golden State Warriors are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Warriors beat the Lakers 112–95 at home. Stephen Curry led them with 31 points and 6 assists, making 8 of 14 threes, and Brandin Podziemski added 21. For the Lakers, Luka Doncic had 37 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists, making 6 of 16 threes.
What the model got right
Ziaire Williams for the Lakers, and Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis for the Warriors, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Lakers a slight favourite at 59%, and that was wrong: the Warriors won by 17. The Warriors made 22 of 46 from three; the Lakers made 11 of 39. Our team-strength rating had the Lakers ahead (99.1 to 94.2), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 59%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 30 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards CHA 58%Orange✕ 79–95
- Fri, 30 OctNew York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers NY 58%Orange✕ 93–98
- Fri, 30 OctOrlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors TOR 69%Green✕ 121–114
- Fri, 30 OctChicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics BOS 82%Green✓ 111–125
- Fri, 30 OctDetroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets DET 75%Green✓ 110–94
- Fri, 30 OctIndiana Pacers @ Miami Heat MIA 77%Green✓ 125–145
- Fri, 30 OctHouston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks HOU 60%Orange✕ 111–116
- Fri, 30 OctLA Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 65%Green✓ 101–127
- Fri, 30 OctDenver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns DEN 58%Orange✓ 127–120
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.