// NBA · Saturday 31 October 2026
Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 56%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Atlanta Hawks 99 – 121 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Atlanta Hawks: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +4.2 points (W 114–111 v CLE, L 117–129 v MIA, L 110–120 @ HOU, L 114–121 v HOU, W 128–81 @ CHA).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −2.2 points (W 132–120 v SAC, L 91–104 v DEN, L 135–141 @ DEN, L 119–120 @ UTAH, L 120–123 v IND).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 56% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
New Orleans Pelicans rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (92.3 to 90.8 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Atlanta Hawks.
Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been winning by 0.6 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 3.0 points a game.
Injuries: New Orleans Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray (32 min a game), Yves Missi (20 min a game) and Jordan Poole (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pelicans beat the Hawks 121–99 at home. Saddiq Bey led them with 25 points and 6 rebounds, and Jeremiah Fears added 20. For the Hawks, CJ McCollum had 14 points.
What the model got right
Dejounte Murray, Yves Missi and Jordan Poole for the Pelicans all missed the game, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Pelicans as the stronger side (92.3 to 90.8).
What didn't work
The model made the Hawks a slight favourite at 56%, and that was wrong: the Pelicans won by 22. The Pelicans out-rebounded the Hawks 49–36.
Why
The Pelicans already rated slightly stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on rest and form, which is a thin margin. Even at 56%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 31 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Utah Jazz POR 60%Orange✓ 112–90
- Sat, 31 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets CHA 53%Red✕ 109–104
- Sat, 31 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs SA 81%Green✓ 111–121
- Sat, 31 OctCleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks CLE 64%Orange✓ 136–111
- Sat, 31 OctSacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 73%Green✓ 105–136
- Sat, 31 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets HOU 57%Orange✓ 98–119
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.